Author Archives: Seiche

Calls for Viewthrough, Proper Display Attribution Growing

As the digital media and marketing business continues to evolve the interest in passive response from digital display (banners, video and non-search mobile) is growing. Although the banner is almost 20 years old now (born c. 1995) the legacy obsession with click-based response measurement and simplistic attribution is only now beginning to collapse thanks to new tools and better methodologies.


Bravo…it’s about time.

Dax Herman who heads-up search-targeted display ad network Chango recently put together an elaborate white paper,  Viewthrough Attribution Exposed: What last Touch Isn’t Telling You. I had the opportunity to work with Chango in an ecommerce setting over the past year and found their interest in and approach to meaningful analytics for their near (but not quite) bottom of the funnel ad media refreshing and collaborative.

Recently, Dax asked for my POV on viewthrough measurement which you’ll find a snippet of in the white paper; this also led to a recent post, here at the Tip of the Spear Blog: Viewthrough Incrementality Testing. More broadly, we’re planning to collaborate with other digital advertising leaders to further viewthrough measurement…it won’t be easy but it needs to happen.

Viewthrough.org Coalition
If you or your company has an interest in viewthrough measurement and attribution please get in touch to learn more about collaborating on the Viewthrough.org effort; as part of this effort we’re looking to work with leading measurement technologies, digital marketers and especially the DAA/IAB to standardize the definition of viewthrough.

Digital Channel Attribution…A Cheat Sheet

Last click, last touch, first touch, fractional…Adometry, TagMan, Visual IQ, Convertro, Omniture, C3 and ClearSaleing…there is no shortage of techniques and vendors claiming to have the right solution for digital marketers today.

Forrester recently released their The Forrester Wave™: Cross-Channel Attribution Providers, Q2 2012 and got most of it right. However, as a recent and current practitioner of digital attribution analysis they curiously weighted market share over real-time data collection – strange!

In any case, if you are still struggling to understand the the various attribution methods used in digital marketing channel analysis and want to avoid the painful learning curve, take a look at the simple vendor-neutral hype-free cheat sheet.

What do you think? Send your feedback!
Download Digital Attribution Cheat Sheet r3.1

Tired of Google Analytics’ Monopoly on Free?

 
 
Piwik - Open Source Web Analytics 
 
It’s tough to compete with the vast resource of Google but Piwik is an open source solution that offers some basic functionality for Web site analytics. If you are interested in inexpensive Web analytics solutions and don’t want your site data shared with Google then Piwik could be a viable platform.
 
 
Good news! Tip of The Spear Blog is now running Piwik…it took about 10 minutes to install. Copying the JavaScript code over to the Blogger tool was pretty easy. 
 
Not bad for free and looks very hackable.

Viewthrough & Incrementality Testing

A common question in digital marketing measurement is “what was the lift?” or “what is the incremental benefit?” from a particular promotional campaign. Most of us would agree that the alternative of relying on display ad clicks alone for display response measurement is just wrong. When measuring display media, incrementality testing is absolutely essential to properly gauge the baseline viewthrough effect.

How to Calculate Incremental Cost Borrowing thumbnail

In order to answer this question, a test and control methodology (or control and exposed) should be used, i.e. basic experimental design where a control group is held out that otherwise are identical to the group that is being tested with the marketing message. This is even more important when marketing “up the funnel” where a last click or even last touch measurement from a site analytics platfom will mask impact.

Email marketers have been doing this with their heritage in direct marketing technqiues. It is often pretty straight forward as the marketer knows the entire audience or segment population and holds back a statistically meaningful group; this will enable them to make a general assertion about what the campaign’s actual lift or incremental benefit is. Control and exposed can also be done with display media if the campaign is configured properly to split audiences, elimnate overlap and show the control group a placebo ad. Often PSAs (public service ads) are used, which can be found via the AdCouncil.

This technique is routinely used for qualitative research, i.e. brand lift study services like Vizu, InsightExpress, Dynamic Logic and Dimestore. It is the best way to isolate the impact of the advertising; read more about the challenges of this kind of audience research in Prof. Paul Lavrakas study for the IAB.

Calculating Lift and Incrementality

Dax Hamman from Chango and Chris Brinkworth from TagMan were recently kicking around some numbers to illustrate how viewthrough can be measured; some of that TOTSB covered a while back in Standardizing the Definition of Viewthrough For the purposes of this example, clickthrough-derived revenue will be analyzed separately and fractional attribution will not be addressed. In this example, both control and exposed groups are the same size though this can be expensive and is usually unnecessary using statistical sampling.

  • Lift is the percentage improvement = (Exposed – Control)/Control
  • Incrementality is the beneficial impact = (Exposed – Control)/Exposed

In addition to understanding the lift in rates like viewthrough visit rate, conversion rate and yield per impression by articulating incrementality rate the baseline percentage is revealed – it is just the reciprocal of incrementality (100% = incrementality % + baseline %). Incrementality or incremental benefit, can be used to calibrate other similar campaigns viewthrough response – “similar” being the operative word.

Executing an Incrementality Test

PSA studies are simple in concept but often hard to run. Some out there advocate a virtual control, which is better than no control but not recommended. This method does provide a homegenous group from an offline standpoint so if all things being equal TV and circular are running then it is safe to assume both test and control should be exposed to the rest of the media mix equally. ComScore even came up with a clever zero-control predicted metholdology for their SmartControl service.

Most digital media agencies have experience designing tests and setting up ad servers with the exact same audience targeting criteria across test and control. Better ad networks out there encourage incrementality testing and will embrace the opportunity to understand their impact beyond click tracking.

Was this helpful? If so, let me know and I’ll share more.

Adverlytics News of Late…

Suffice it to say, there has been a lot going on since my last post.

I’m pleased to announce my return to the digital analytics consulting business, rejoining The Encima Group (TEG) as VP of Digital Analytics & Operations. TEG is a technology-independent digital analytics consultancy that sweats the details and is led by founder David Clunes.

It was a tough decision leaving the dedicated marketing analytics and media teams at Sears Holdings. I’m very proud of the great work that we did (alongside Digitas, Vivaki AOD and WebHue) to advance digital marketing for a top American brand and innovative multichannel retailer. I’m confident that the Adverlytics team working with several top technology vendor partners will continue to build on the great progress that we made together.

While I won’t mention the several critical ad technology stack partners by name, one in particular stood out by enabling much of the amazing advances that we made in capabilities and strategy. After working with the team at BrightTag for over18 months on some the toughest tag, data management and performance engineering problems, I’m honored to announce that I’ve accepted an invitation to join their strategic advisory board.

BT Logo

It is really great to see the team getting so much traction in the marketplace and finally receiving some of the recognition that they deserve. They were great people to work with that are attacking some of the thorniest solve-resistant problems plaguing the digital marketing industry today.

Meanwhile back at TEG, I’ll be having a blast knee-deep in analytics across several clients while working on several aspects of TEG’s business. I’ll continue to push forward with a special emphasis on audience research, advanced targeting, offline measurement, algorithmic attribution and of course process. If your company needs analytics support, operational resources or an objective strategic POV – get in touch.

More blog posts are a brewing so check back soon.

Control your Ad Preferences (and Cookies) 2011!

What a difference a year makes! New posts are brewing but in a continuing effort to help ease the privacy data paranoia and highlight progress, this popular Tip of the Spear Blog post has been updated for 2011. Can’t wait for the 2012 election fueled update…


With all the hub-ub from the New York Times, WSJ, gubment (including former Black Panther and Chicago’s very own Bobby Rush) and consumer privacy fanatics you must be growing VERY concerned. For your handy reference below is a list of major consumer settings panels where you can adjust your advertising preferences that is actually much easier than correcting information on your credit report.

Global Opt-in Cookie Managers
These services have emerged as a one-stop shop for consumers.
  1. PrivacyChoice – Very easy to use and includes Yahoo, Bizo, BlueKai & Exelate. Individual publishers can skin this with their ad partners.
  2. PreferenceCentral – Not sure what control this really provides just yet but it looks interesting.
  3. TrustE – a recent effort and competitive to NAI; it has more non-participatns provided seemingly to get them off the fence. Not a bad approach.
  4. NAI opt-out – The industry choice. If you really don’t want ANY advertising tailored to you, set your opt-out centrally and then get lots of irelavant ads – enjoy…also, don’t change computers or delete the cookie! 
The Consumer Portals
You get your email 24×7 and store your personal life’s electronic communiques in there for free – somebody has to pay for this!
  1. Google – comprehensive and interest-based; no observed behavior included (yet). There is also the Google Dashboard for general privacy.
  2. Microsoft – another comprehensive list of interests; no observed behavior.
  3. Yahoo – fairly deep interest profile; no observed behavior. Their Ad Interest Manager currently only allows 7 catagory opt-outs – seems like an odd limit on something that makes the advertising more valuable.
  4. AOL – not much control here yet.
Specific Advertising Provider Preference Managers
The data providers of the world mostly work behind the scenes but have a variety of services for consumers to control their advertising.
  1. Blue Kai – by far the most interesting with a new interface. Plenty of behavioral ad targeting fodder in here. Also, you can really see the presence of offline credit ratings companies busily creating a whole new revenue stream off of you; interesting that because it is just as creepy yet harder to see. Still, Blue Kai stands out as offering a benefit to charities.
  2. Exelate – they changed the URL! No worries, we found the new one for you. Exelate is not as behavior dominated but has many interest categories. Also, it doesn’t seem to update in real-time.
  3. Lotame – fairly innocuous interest and sub-interest categories with observed behavior.
  4. Bizo – known as the B2B player in the digital advertising data business. Nice approach actually.
  5. Safecount –  from the DynamicLogic (WPP) family comes a totally different approach; with no behavioral segments but plenty of ad creative and sites you’ve been to; no interest preferences here. Actually shows you the creative units.
  6. Amazon – pretty simplistic control over personalization of Amazon ads.
  7. Blue Cava – mobile targeting manager. 
  8. RapLeaf – Opt-out and preference manager; associates to an email address.

If anyone has any other suggestions for the above list, please drop me a line!

Also, in case you were looking for a Flash cookie control panel to view and/remove such locally stored objects: http://bit.ly/2fZi


Last, don’t be evil and enjoy your new Google Toilet ™!





Recent Privacy & Targeting Coverage

New posts are brewing, in the meantime here is a repost of the OPA’s roundup.

  • Consumers Are Getting Savvier About Behavioral Targeting  (paidContent)
  • Behavioral Targeting On Rise Regardless Of Pushback (MediaPost)
  • Consumers to Behavioral Advertisers: We Know You’re There (eMarketer)
  • Trends in Behavioral and Contextual-based Advertising shows consumers accepting of targeted advertising (Parks Associates release)
  • homeValence RIP


    homeValence.com is being retired. Launched in 2006, it was an innovative Web site that represented a bold idea for monitoring residential home appreciation; unlike Zillow, homeValence set out to use national HPI data and eventually broker opinions to drive valuation…there was also a neat hook into Facebook Connect to share updates.




    With the meltdown of the residential real estate and appraisal industry, other priorities quickly eclipsed the site’s need for updating and ongoing development.


    The concepts are still solid so it may re-emerge at some point!

    Pandora IPO Media Coverage Redux

    Hmmm…do any of them actually know what they are talking about?

    Fascinating Stats on City of Chicago Employee Pay

    Ever wonder where all the money goes that the City of Chicago takes for running our lovely municipality? Recently elected Mayor Rahm Emmanuel took a bold step in transparency to post this one!


    The reason for the skew towards $77k is that is about the pay for most of the employees who are police officers and firefighters. This appears to be a union-set wage, which doesn’t make sense, e.g. as a new police officer/firefighter makes just about as much (not much percentgae  difference in pay) as one that has been on the job for many years….and like all collective bargaining schemes there is no room for management to differentiate pay on performance let alone between competent vs. incompetent.

    The reason for the sharp drop off at the bottom-right is that this includes part-time employees, interns and those that receive salaries for being foster parents, police cadets and others.



    mean $73,829
    median $77,238
    mode $77,238
    standard deviation $77,238
    min $1
    max $260,004


    POINT OF REFERENCE
    • Estimated (mean) per capita income in 2009: $27,138
    • Estimated median household income in 2009: $45,734 (it was $38,625 in 2000)


    It would really be interesting to see the Board of Education and teachers (not necessarily by name)!